http://www.exponentialtrader.com Not another market blog. Offering concise, helplful, strategic info. Sun, 03 Feb 2008 21:20:08 +0000 http://backend.userland.com/rss092 en Heres my bet for the Superbowl. The trend for the playoffs has been that the spread usually was covered by the underdog, and thats what my previous bets have capitalized on. I've been 5 for 5 recently. To make it 6 for 6 I'm changing it up a little. I'm picking ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/gambling/2008020340/superbowl-xlii-bets/ Let's see how this one will work out. This is test #3, the other two times we did this we made a profit. 0==== Parlay: 71 | UNKNOWN RESULT Winning Combo: ---- ----- ------- Parlay Result: 0 80 V |2007-11-03 13:15:00: LVP @ BLA - Visitor - 2.00 73 T |2007-11-03 ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/gambling/2007110338/picks-for-the-weekend/ So I'm still working on my script that takes a list of sports action games and makes parlays. Heres an example.. Click here to see the output After running through hundreds of parlays...For parlays of 3 games with 1/13 odds Average Winning Odds: 12.57 # Parlays Correct with 1/13 odds: 5.16% (as compared to ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/gambling/2007110337/data-analysis-of-many-parlays/ The fourth parlay used: New Mexico v San Diego State - Straight up New Mexico 1.267 Minnesota Wild v St Louis Blues - Minesota Wild -1.5 - 3.2 Colorado State v UNLV - Colorado State straight up 2.25 Results 16:30 Oct 20, 2007 New Mexico 20 - 17 San Diego State 16:35 Oct 20, 2007 ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/gambling/2007102135/my-method-worked-again/ Got my wisdom teeth pulled out yesterday, one of the worst experiences in my life. So I'm in bed bored and wanting to finally use my method this time. Instead of doing it at the local BCLC retailer I'll be use Intertops, an online sportsbook. So here are my random picks, ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/gambling/2007102034/testing-out-the-czasz-method-real-life/ First bought it at 24.72 but it had it's stop order triggered 24.53. Feeling confident in it and unhappy about the loss I got in again at 24.65 and sold at 25.00 Overall I didn't gain any or loose anything because of cost per couple trades. http://www.exponentialtrader.com/trades/2007101533/sonic/ You can check out the official results from the experiment here, menu 1244 https://playnow.bclc.com/BCCF/forwardResultsODST.do I found this SNL skit that aired this weekend really funny. Can't get the music out of my head. Other than that I got a review copy of Timothy Sykes book; An American Hedge Fund straight from ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/other/2007101432/results-are-official-other-ramblings/ Correct Parlays 90 T CORRECT, 92 V CORRECT, 99V CORRECT Odds 1/8.30 94 V CORRECT, 95 H CORRECT, 97 H CORRECT Odds 1/8.78 Two of the parlays won. And neither one of them were the 9th trial. It was the 4th and 6th parlay (just like expected it'd be near ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/gambling/2007101431/unofficial-results-this-time-its-a-great-success-1075-profit-in-1-day/ This is in follow up to my previous post found here. Ok so it's Week 6 of the NFL and time for me to do another experiment. By using last week's results where none of the 10, 1-to-10 odd parlays won, I'll try to figure out reasons why it didn't work. The ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/gambling/2007101330/experiment-round-2-changing-the-approach-a-little/ There's a lot of talk going around blogs about Timothy Sykes new book "An American Hedge Fund: How I Made $2 Million as a Stock Operator & Created a Hedge Fund" This guy is just like me, started off with same amount of money but only turned it into 2 million ... http://www.exponentialtrader.com/books/2007101129/timothy-sykes-turned-12k-into-2mill/